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After 30 games over 3 weeks, Euro 2008 reaches its climax on Sunday as Germany take on Spain in Vienna at 7:45pm. Despite being labelled a ‘poor’ German team by many pundits, they have, as they did in 2002 and 2006, overcome these criticisms to show you can never write of the Germans. Nothing illustrated this more than their 3-2 semi final win over Turkey on Wednesday, as they scored three goals in ten minutes to break a heroic Turkish side which had just 13 available players.

As always Spain entered the competition with great expectations, but this time there was also a real belief amongst both the squad and the fans that this side had the resilience needed to win a major tournament. So far that believe has been proved through impressive results and performances against tough sides like Italy and Russia, but can they finally prove they can win when the pressure is on?


Spain have been the neutral’s choice due to their open and exciting approach, and are the tournament’s top scorers with 11 goals, one more than the Germans, while David Villa is the top scorer so far with four, three of which came in their opening game, where they swept aside the Russians 4-1. Consecutive 2-1 wins in their final two group games against Sweden and Greece earned them top spot in Group D, and a quarter final clash with the Italians.

The two sides took very different approaches to the game, resulting in Spain dominating the 90 minutes as their attacking brand of football was restrained by the Italians typical defensive position. Spain had the best chances in normal time, coming closest to scoring when Buffon spilled Marco Senna’a shot, only to see it hit the post and come back into his arms.

The match inevitably went to penalties and looked set to favour the Italians, as it looked as though they had played for that outcome since the start History was also not on Spain’s side, as they had previously lost three quarter finals by penalty shot outs, all on the 22nd June. However, this time they held their nerve to win the shoot out 4-2, Casillas saving two kicks to give Fabregas the chance to shoot the Spanish into the final. Their semi final pitted them against their opponents from the first round, a Russian team this time with Andrei Arshavin. The opening half was tight, with both teams predictably cancelling each other out following their opening group game.

The second half saw the attacking Spain of the last three weeks emerge, with Fabregas, who had come on for an injured David Villa, opening the scoring on 50 minutes. Guiza and Silva then put the game beyond the Russians with strikes in the 73rd and 82nd minute respectively, to seal Spain’s first tournament final place since the Euros of 1984.

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Three times champions Germany look to continue their impressive form in this competition as they enter their sixth final, but their first in twelve years.

Although they started the tournament as favourites, due in part to the relative weakness of Group B, many people believed their workman like team would struggle against more skilled outfits once they reached the knockout stages. Their first real challenge came against a fancied Portuguese team, led by Cristiano Ronaldo, who had been impressive in their first two group games. However, early goals from Bastain Schweinsteiger and Miroslav Klose gave the Portuguese a shock they could not recover from, despite Nuno Gomes’ reply five minutes from half time. Germany were never truly stretched, and in the 62nd minute Ballack sealed it with a header from a Schweinsteiger free kick, despite Postiga’s consolation goal three minutes from time.

Their semi final win over a depleted Turkey was not as comfortable, as first they had to come from behind, and then score in injury time to seal their place in Vienna. They were big favourites to beat the injury ravaged Turks, but were outplayed in the first half, and were fortunate to be level at half time. Ugar Boral had given Turkey a deserved lead after they dominated the opening twenty minutes, but that lead lasted just five minutes as Schweinsteiger flicked in a cross from Podolski.

In a tight second half Klose looked to have won it for the Germans ten minutes from time as he capitalised on a mistake from Rustu to head Germany into the lead. However the Turks have made scoring late goals their speciality in this tournament, and did it again for the fourth game in a row, thanks to Semih Sentruck, and everyone prepared for extra time. Everyone except Phillip Lahm that is, as his surging run from full back caught the Turks napping, and he lashed home Hitzlsperger‘s pass from six yardsto seal Germany’s place in the final.

Bookmakers make Spain favourites at 6/5 (2.3), while the draw is 9/4 (3.25)  and the Germany win is 5/2 (3.5)

Well the big question is whether Germany can continue to do what they do well, in grinding out the results even when the side is not playing well.

In answer to that question, that is a definite no.

I just feel with Spain they overcame a huge psychological barrier in overcoming the Italians in the quarter finals, and they simply have too much attacking wise for a German back two of Christoph Metzelder and  Mertesacker, who have been appalling all through the tournament, and lets not forget that the man between the posts, Jens Lehmann, who definitely does not inspire confidence.
 

Betfair offer a free £25 bet on this game  and Spain @ 2.3 is the call.

I was very impressed by the way Spain passed the ball, and the inclusion of Cesc Fabregas in place of the injured David Villa should work in their favour, as the Arsenal man is very creative and linked up superbly well with the front players against Russia. Sergio Ramos has shown how good he is at defending against pacy wingers down the flanks and he out bossed the dangerous Zhirkov and generally took him out of the game, which should take away the threat of Phillip Lahm.

Even with the mighty Ballack in midfield, I think Germany will just come up short on Sunday.

Aragones to sign off his managerial career with Spain by lifting the Euro 2008 trophy.

© Free-Bets.uk 2008

 

Verdict: Spain @ 2.3 with
 

 


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